12 Aug · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1473
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mytsyk
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1466
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ovsiienko🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (150)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.