12 Aug · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1617
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kocvara
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1572
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Kocvara stays under total as favourite 62% (32)
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)