12 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇺🇦Pavel Cizek
ELO 1450
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cizek
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1367
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Sabuka stays under total as underdog 68% (31)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)