12 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1548
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Simchuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1395
FormWWWLL
66%
34%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 72% (58)
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)