12 Aug · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1465
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1473
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 62% (72)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.