13 Aug · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1688
FormWWWWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Bondarchuk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Belskyi
ELO 1380
FormLLLLL
79%
21%
🌟Belskyi stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~71 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
18%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+308
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+308)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)