13 Aug · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1483
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Neborak
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Belskyi
ELO 1380
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Belskyi stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Neborak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)