13 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1652
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kryshtal
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1637
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H48-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.