13 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1333
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bolnyh
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1371
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Bolnyh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H14-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.