13 Aug · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IH
🇺🇦Illia Hermakivskyi
ELO 1540
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Ivchuk
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1643
FormLWWLW
39%
61%
🌟Hermakivskyi covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)