13 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1652
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kryshtal
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1610
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Komar covers set handicap as underdog 64% (75)
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H30-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.