13 Aug · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1679
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maksymiv
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1616
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (104)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)