13 Aug · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1263
FormWWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Senyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lanchut
ELO 1115
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Lanchut stays under total as underdog 75% (20)
Fair odds · Senyk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+148
H2H12-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-0)