13 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1637
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kushnirenko
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1610
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as favourite 68% (25)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H10-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.