13 Aug · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1632
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chaikovskyi
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1570
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H36-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)