13 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1570
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1638
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H38-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-35)