13 Aug · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1395
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pyrtyk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1371
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
🌟Bolnyh covers set handicap as underdog 80% (41)
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.