13 Aug · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1638
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sukovatyi
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1616
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (104)
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H28-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.