13 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1540
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1545
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H27-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.