13 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇺🇦Pavel Cizek
ELO 1457
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cizek
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1427
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Seeman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.