13 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1648
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dobias
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1579
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (192)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)