13 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1484
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Plyska
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1427
FormLLWLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seeman🌟Seeman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (48)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)