13 Aug · 09:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ovsiienko
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1459
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Klymenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (93)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.