13 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hucko
ELO 1533
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Svitac
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1579
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)