13 Aug · 10:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1430
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Miklukha
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1413
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Miklukha goes over total as favourite 63% (41)
Fair odds · Miklukha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.