13 Aug · 07:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1648
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Dobias
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (192)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H12-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)