13 Aug · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1579
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Pisa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (89)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H47-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-35)