13 Aug · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1413
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H4-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)