13 Aug · 11:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Simek
ELO 1497
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)