14 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1496
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1540
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 67% (129)
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H26-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-25)