14 Aug · 07:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1459
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vivatenko
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1484
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Vivatenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (43)
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H26-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.