14 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1484
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vivatenko
MD
🇺🇦Mykhailo Dunas
ELO 1464
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Vivatenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (43)
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.