14 Aug · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1363
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H61-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-38)