14 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1591
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuzmenko
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (61)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.