14 Aug · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1470
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1539
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H25-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-13)