14 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1496
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1674
FormLWLLL
32%
68%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 67% (129)
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+178
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)