14 Aug · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1540
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Maliuk
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H25-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-24)