14 Aug · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1499
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1539
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.