14 Aug · 08:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Shchegelskyi
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (83)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H2-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)