14 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1601
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1635
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 66% (151)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H44-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.