14 Aug · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1265
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1372
FormLLLLW
39%
61%
🌟Shvydkyi stays under total as underdog 73% (33)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~72 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)