14 Aug · 09:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1555
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lipeiko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1507
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (86)
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)