14 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1284
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Khyzhnyak
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Shvydkyi
ELO 1265
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
🌟Shvydkyi stays under total as underdog 73% (33)
Fair odds · Khyzhnyak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.