14 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇺🇦Julius Krejcik
ELO 1524
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krejcik
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1457
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Holub covers set handicap as underdog 67% (64)
Fair odds · Krejcik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)