14 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1284
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1372
FormLLLLW
41%
59%
🌟Khyzhnyak stays under total as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)