14 Aug · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1690
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wasik
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1652
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Dobias covers set handicap as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.