14 Aug · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1284
FormLWWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1473
FormWLLWW
31%
69%
🌟Khyzhnyak stays under total as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~71 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)