14 Aug · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PW
🇺🇦Petr Wasik
ELO 1690
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Wasik
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1586
FormWWLWW
61%
39%
🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 68% (76)
Fair odds · Wasik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)