14 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1426
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1470
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H24-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-16)