14 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1674
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chuhai
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1610
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H57-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-6)